Demographics of Nepal

The current population of Nepal is 2,91,92,480 as per the 2021 census. The population growth rate is 0.93% per year.In the 2011 census, Nepal’s population was approximately 26 million people with a population growth rate of 1.35% and a median age of 21.6 years. In 2016, the female median age was approximately 25 years old and the male median age was approximately 22 years old. Only 4.4% of the population is estimated to be more than 65 years old, comprising 681,252 females and 597,628 males. 61% of the population is between 15 and 64 years old, and 34.6% is younger than 14 years. In 2011, the Birth rate is estimated to be 22.17 births per 1,000 people with an infant mortality rate of 46 deaths per 1,000 live births. Compared to the infant mortality rate in 2006 of 48 deaths per 1000 live births, the 2011 IMR is a slight decrease within that 5-year period. Infant mortality rate in Nepal is higher in rural regions at 44 deaths per 1000 live births, whereas in urban regions the IMR is lower at 40 deaths per 1000 live births. This difference is due to a lack of delivery assistance services in rural communities compared to their urban counterparts who have better access to hospitals and neonatal clinics. Life expectancy at birth is estimated to be 67.44 years for females and 64.94 years for males. The mortality rate is estimated to be 681 deaths per 100,000 people. Net migration rate is estimated to be 61 migrants per 100,000 people. According to the 2011 census, 65.9% of the total population is literate.

Population growth

Historical population
Year Pop. ±%
1911 5,638,749
1920 5,573,788 −1.2%
1930 5,532,574 −0.7%
1941 6,283,649 +13.6%
1954 8,256,625 +31.4%
1961 9,412,996 +14.0%
1971 11,555,983 +22.8%
1981 15,022,839 +30.0%
1991 18,491,097 +23.1%
2001 23,151,423 +25.2%
2011 26,494,504 +14.4%
2021 29,192,480 +10.2%
Source:

The population of Nepal has been steadily rising in recent decades. In the June 2001 census, there was a population of about 23 million in Nepal. The population increased by 5 million from the preceding 1991 census; the growth rate is 2.3%. The current population is roughly 30 million which contributes to an increase of about 3 million people every 5 years.

Sixty caste and linguistic subgroups have formed throughout time with the waves of migration from Tibet and India. There was a moderate amount of immigration early in Nepal’s history, then the population essentially remained the same without any significant fluctuations for over one hundred years. Natural disasters and the following government resettlement programs in the 1950s led to a spike in internal migration from the hills to the Terai region. In the 1980s the Western Chitwan Valley became a major transportation hub for all of Nepal. Along with this major change came a dramatic increase in government services, business expansion, and growing employment, especially in the agricultural industry. The valley’s population grew rapidly through both in-migration and natural increase.

Vital statistics

UN estimates

Period Live births per year Deaths per year Natural change per year CBR1 CDR1 NC1 TFR1 IMR1
1975–1980 597,000 254,000 343,000 42.2 19.3 22.9 5.80
1980–1985 651,000 253,000 398,000 41.2 16.9 24.3 5.62
1985–1990 707,000 249,000 458,000 39.6 14.3 25.3 5.33
1990–1995 767,000 244,000 523,000 37.2 11.6 25.6 4.97
1995–2000 805,000 224,000 581,000 34.3 9.4 24.9 4.41
2000–2005 797,000 201,000 596,000 29.7 7.8 21.9 3.64
2005–2010 732,000 177,000 555,000 25.2 7.0 18.2 2.96
2010–2015 20.9 6.5 14.4 2.32
2015–2020 19.5 6.2 13.3 2.08
2020–2025 18.1 6.1 12.0 1.93
2025–2030 16.3 6.2 10.1 1.83
2030–2035 14.5 6.3 8.2 1.76
2035–2040 13.0 6.5 6.5 1.72
1 CBR = crude birth rate (per 1000); CDR = crude death rate (per 1000); NC = natural change (per 1000); TFR = total fertility rate (number of children per woman); IMR = infant mortality rate per 1000 births

Source:

Births and deaths

Year Population Live births Deaths Natural increase Crude birth rate Crude death rate Rate of natural increase TFR
2011 326,725 129,978 196,747 11.4 4.5 6.9 2.52

Structure of the population

Structure of the population (22.06.2011) (Census):

Age group Male Female Total %
Total 12 849 041 13 645 463 26 494 504 100
0-4 1 314 957 1 253 006 2 567 963 9.69
5-9 1 635 176 1 569 683 3 204 859 12.10
10-14 1 764 630 1 710 794 3 475 424 13.12
15-19 1 443 191 1 488 789 2 931 980 11.07
20-24 1 043 981 1 314 090 2 358 071 8.90
25-29 917 243 1 162 111 2 079 354 7.85
30-34 770 577 964 728 1 735 305 6.55
35-39 740 200 864 119 1 604 319 6.06
40-44 660 290 725 831 1 386 121 5.23
45-49 575 101 597 858 1 172 959 4.43
50-54 505 864 499 612 1 005 476 3.80
55-59 412 892 405 371 818 263 3.09
60-64 368 451 388 376 756 827 2.86
65-69 277 782 276 667 554 449 2.09
70-74 199 610 195 543 395 153 1.49
75-79 117 358 117 777 235 135 0.89
80-84 62 787 65 990 128 777 0.49
85-89 25 810 26 716 52 526 0.20
90-94 8 940 11 395 20 335 0.08
95+ 4 201 7 007 11 208 0.04
Age group Male Female Total Percent
0-14 4 714 763 4 533 483 9 248 246 34.91
15-64 7 437 790 8 410 885 15 848 675 59.82
65+ 696 488 701 095 1 397 583 5.27

Life expectancy

Period Life expectancy in
years
Period Life expectancy in
years
1950–1955 34.0 1985–1990 52.1
1955–1960 34.6 1990–1995 56.4
1960–1965 36.2 1995–2000 60.5
1965–1970 39.1 2000–2005 64.0
1970–1975 42.0 2005–2010 66.7
1975–1980 44.9 2010–2015 68.9
1980–1985 48.3

Source: UN World Population Prospects

Demographic statistics

Chhetri boy, the largest caste group in Nepal

Most populous caste/ethnic groups (Census 2011) Population % of total
Chhetri (Khas) 4,398,053 16.6%
Brahmin 3,226,903 12.2%
Magar 1,877,733 7.3%
Tharu 1,737,470 6.6%
Newar 1,539,830 5.9%
Tamang 1,321,933 5%
Sanyasi/Dasnami 1,287,633 4.8%
Khas-Kami 1,258,554 4.7%
Muslim (taken as a single religious group) 1,164,255 4.4%
Yadav 1,054,458 4.0%
Rai 690,989 2.3%
Gurung 522,641 1.9%
Sherpa 112,926 1.8%
Thakuri 425,623 1.6%
Limbu 387,300 1.4%
Sarki 374,816 1.41%
Teli 369,688 1.4%
Chamar/Harijan/Ram 335,893 1.3%
Koiri/Kushwaha 306,393 1.1%
Musahar 234,490 0.88%
Kurmi 231,129 0.87%
Dhanuk 219,808 0.82%
Dusadh/Pasawan 208,910 0.79%
Damaii/Dholi 112,946 0.42%
Sunuwar 100,000 0.38%
Kumal 121,196 0.46%
Other (more than 100 caste/ethnic groups) 4,229,290 15.96%

Nepal Demographic and Health Survey

Total fertility rate (TFR) (wanted fertility rate) and crude birth rate (CBR):

Year CBR (total) TFR (total) CBR (urban) TFR (urban) CBR (rural) TFR (rural)
1996 37 4.64 (2,9) 27 2.85 (1,9) 38 4.83 (3,1)
2001 33.5 4.1 (2,5) 20.6 2.1 (1,4) 34.9 4.4 (2,6)
2006 28.4 3.1 (2,0) 21.9 2.1 (1,4) 29.5 3.3 (2,1)
2011 24.3 2.6 (1,8) 16.6 1.6 (1,2) 25.5 2.8 (1,8)
2016 22.4 2.3 (1.7) 19.9 2.0 (1.5) 26.3 2.9 (2.1)

The following demographic statistics are from the 2011 Nepal Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS).

Median birth intervals (median number of months since preceding birth)

Total: 36.2
Rural: 35.9
Urban: 40.3 (2011)

Median age at first birth

Median age: 20.1 (2011)

Fertility rate – past trend and present

Total fertility rate: 4.6 children born/woman (1996)
Total fertility rate: 4.1 children born/woman (2001)
Total fertility rate: 3.1 children born/woman (2006)
Total fertility rate: 2.6 children born/woman
Rural fertility rate: 2.8 children born/woman
Urban fertility rate: 1.6 children born/woman (2011)

Ideal family size – mean ideal number of children

Overall (female/male): 2.1 / 2.3
Currently married (female/male): 2.2 / 2.3
Urban (female/male): 1.9 / 2.0
Rural (female/male): 2.2 / 2.3 (2011)

Ideal family size by gender and age group

Below is a table of the ideal family size by gender and age for 2011.
Age Women Men
15-19 1.9 2.2
20-24 1.9 2.1
25-29 2.1 2.1
30-34 2.2 2.3
35-39 2.3 2.4
40-44 2.5 2.4
45-49 2.6 2.6

CIA World Factbook

The following demographic statistics are from the CIA World Factbook, unless otherwise indicated.

Nationality

Noun: Nepali, Nepalese
Adjective: Nepali, Nepalese

Religions

Hindu 81.34%, Buddhist 9.04%, Muslim 4.38%, Kirant 3.04%, other 2.2% (2011 census).

Literacy

Definition: age 15 and over can read and write
Total population: 67.9%
Male: 78.6%
Female: 59.7% (2018)

Population

29,033,914 (July 2016 est.)

Age structure

0-14 years: 30.93% (male 4,646,048/female 4,333,105)
15-24 years: 21.86% (male 3,176,158/female 3,169,721)
25-54 years: 35.99% (male 4,707,264/female 5,740,985)
55-64 years: 6.22% (male 877,288/female 927,202)
65 years and over: 5.02% (male 723,523/female 732,620) (2016 est.)

Median age

total: 23.6 years
male: 22.4 years
female: 24.8 years (2016 est.)

Population growth rate

1.24% (2016 est.)

Birth rate

19.9 births/1,000 population (2016 est.)

Death rate

5.7 deaths/1,000 population (2016 est.)

Net migration rate

1.9 migrants/1,000 population (2016 est.)